Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.736610e+00 2.104724 2.503697 2.965055 3.480680 4.036193 4.676879
2025-02-02 1.190606e+00 1.673000 2.244987 2.959034 3.812614 4.787159 5.970686
2025-02-09 7.831556e-01 1.291961 1.953892 2.842831 3.971270 5.324283 7.037165
2025-02-16 5.160441e-01 1.012343 1.722279 2.743942 4.112144 5.822216 8.061759
2025-02-23 3.584813e-01 0.838202 1.589710 2.739794 4.350958 6.433436 9.233988
2025-03-02 2.361558e-01 0.676223 1.437088 2.676073 4.488517 6.905105 10.233577
2025-03-09 1.808633e-01 0.614196 1.424278 2.805567 4.889257 7.727686 11.700729
2025-03-16 1.228561e-01 0.520179 1.336755 2.804218 5.093894 8.285285 12.828722
2025-03-23 9.770449e-02 0.491150 1.357595 2.972091 5.548483 9.193589 14.439700
2025-03-30 7.305764e-02 0.449900 1.346004 3.081024 5.914614 9.984688 15.906430
2025-04-06 5.044805e-02 0.398972 1.303731 3.129849 6.185819 10.644452 17.203896
2025-04-13 2.929250e-02 0.331403 1.209833 3.074652 6.286095 11.056667 18.164080
2025-04-20 1.870473e-02 0.296254 1.183424 3.143045 6.592146 11.785086 19.594028
2025-04-27 1.118860e-02 0.264013 1.156232 3.206052 6.890541 12.509058 21.032036
2025-05-04 4.225169e-03 0.210311 1.057365 3.117132 6.929849 12.846461 21.928447
2025-05-11 1.053441e-03 0.165339 0.965378 3.028305 6.959915 13.165639 22.800144
2025-05-18 1.920499e-04 0.139316 0.920892 3.032034 7.146385 13.724024 24.022366
2025-05-25 2.712109e-07 0.109500 0.849901 2.967767 7.206672 14.085681 24.961694
2025-06-01 NaN 0.104553 0.869203 3.108604 7.638913 15.034522 26.772274
2025-06-08 NaN 0.086863 0.829806 3.108168 7.812432 15.578573 27.993627
2025-06-15 NaN 0.086536 0.865251 3.288534 8.324033 16.665859 30.030819
2025-06-22 NaN 0.080908 0.874520 3.405393 8.720205 17.575036 31.813542
2025-06-29 NaN 0.070941 0.858472 3.457758 8.996182 18.295692 33.323301